The Dodge Momentum Index fell 2.7% in January to 152.5 (2000 equals 100) from the revised December reading of 156.7, snapping a four-month streak of gains. The Dodge Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Data and Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first, or initial, report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The decline in the overall Dodge Momentum Index was the result of an 11% drop in the institutional component, more than offsetting a 2.7% gain in the commercial component.
A similar pattern exists when comparing year-over-year growth in the components of the index, Dodge Data stated. The institutional component was down 7.4% when compared to January 2019, while the commercial component was 17.4% higher than a year ago. These conflicting trends pushed the overall Dodge Momentum Index up 7.1% from January 2019.
In January, 10 projects each with a value of $100 million or more entered planning. The leading commercial projects were a $200 million parking garage in the Bronx, N.Y., and $160 million first phase of the Palomino Business Park in Norco, Calif. The leading institutional projects were a $500 million Good Samaritan Hospital expansion in West Islip, N.Y., and $250 million Anschutz Medical Campus in Aurora, Colo.